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Expected by whom?
Wed Sep 12, 2018 11:28am

By those who wanted you to give them money to invest in its development? Of course they will try to SELL you on the idea that it's right around the corner.

I'd be SHOCKED if any significant percentage of vehicles are self-driving in 10 years. Yeah, there probably will be a few here and there in select markets.

But it will be several more DECADES in my opinion before the AVERAGE driver lets his car take him to work.

While it WILL happen, I don't think it will happen as BROADLY as people think. Because while an automated car can replace a LYFT driver or a tax driver, it can't take the place of a truck driver or other delivery driver because they actually do MORE than JUST drive. They take part in loading and unloading as well.

So the number of people whose occupation is "driver" that can SERIOUSLY be totally replaced by a automated vehicle is much smaller than the doom-and-gloom writers often quote.

  • Self driving technology is progressing slower than they expected, so in the short term Lyft plans to hire even more human drivers. Then in 5 - 10 years the self driving cars will become more widely... more
    • Expected by whom? — Sprout, Wed Sep 12 11:28am
      • Self driving rides would be much cheaper.Ken C, Wed Sep 12 12:11pm
        Currently when someone pays for a ride in Uber or lyft or a taxi, most of the money goes to the human driver. That means taking a ride in a self driving car could be about half as expensive. All the... more
        • of self driving cars will be liability and insurance. Who is responsible? If you buy a new Ford self-driving sedan, and you get in an at-fault wreck, who is responsible? You? Ford? Whose insurance... more
        • Maybe...Sprout, Wed Sep 12 12:21pm
          Depends on how much it takes to equip, maintain, AND UPDATE the software necessary to keep a self-driving vehicle on the road. I think that EVENTUALLY a self-driving cab will be markedly cheaper than ... more
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