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Chase
Re: Getting Grandal back
Tue Jul 24, 2018 03:56
75.164.72.177

Love this addition to the loaded farm! Clearly Austin Hedges bat has never really developed, aside from a brief tease at AAA, and a torrid homer pace to start the 2017 season. That said, with what he brings to the table defensively (with a flood of pitching arriving in the upcoming years) is a real benefit to the entire pitching staff -- I'm glad we still have him under control for another four seasons.

Cashing in Hand and Cimber (man, check out those minor k-rates -- Balsley effect?) for a top-25 prospect was pretty damn smart. We've been burned in the past holding onto guys too long, though it looks like we'll get a partial redo with Tyson.

I imagine Brett Kennedy will get added to the 40-man roster when a rotation spot opens up. The farm system is so damn loaded, pitchers like Kennedy and Nick Margevicius might not even make a top 20 padres pitching prospect list, but could be 4/5 type staters (and soon). Kennedy's work in AAA has been very stellar, and in his 3 starts in July the 73 batters he's faced have fared poorly against him (.219/.286/.266). He has to be added to the 40-man this winter, so he's a logical callup after Ross is dealt.

Things are going pretty damn good on the development front. We're seeing them move players through the system with good results along the way. 2016 was clearly a big year in the draft (Below), international signings (Morejon, et al), and trades (Tatis Jr.), tons of talent came almost overnight from a variety of avenues.

Focusing on the draft for a minute -- we've got two good looking pitchers looking like they have rotation spots secured currently. Hudson Potts is 19 years old playing in A+ and making good improvements on his promising 20 hr Ft. Wayne debut last year as one of the youngest dudes in the league (32 2b & 17 HR currently). He'll need to continue making progress as he moves up the latter, but he's looking like he might the future at 3b come sometime in 2020. That would help in the point above about missed opportunities. We might not have Michael Fulmer like we could have had had we dealt Justin Upton at the '15 deadline, but getting a future 3b for that comp pick would be a solid consolation prize, and since Potts was signed for way underslot, you can tie in part of Lawson or Thompson into the equation too.

Back to the draft, sp we've got Lauer & Lucchesi in the rotation, huge breakout this year from Buddy Reed, the aforementioned Potts, Cal Quantril (have my doubts he'll be able to become a rotation mainstay with all the other arms on the way -- perhaps he follows in his dads footsteps for us), Reggie Lawson had a nice strikeout rate last year at Ft. Wayne but with an era over 5. Really wasn't expecting him to perform as well as he has while moving up to the CAL league, so he has been a pleasant surprise. Mason Thompson's overall numbers don't jump out at you (aside from the 80k's in 76 innings). He started the year with a brutal April, but has taken big steps since the 1st of May, pitching to a 3.45 era while opponents are hitting a much improved .239/.303/.333 off him over his past 62 IP.

Two years after the fact, and all 7 of their first picks are still promising as prospects or big leaguers. Lauer and Lucchesi might even rank towards the bottom of the group if your looking at each players upside. Obviously their "safe" factor adds a ton in their favor as they're starters in the big leagues. They also turned a 35th round pick into a relief prospect in David Bedner to further top off that promising draft.

Bummed Tatis Jr. season is done, but sweet mother, let me take a moment to talk about him. Clearly he had a monster season last year as a 18 year old in Ft. Wayne, jumping from either not on the top-100 lists or at the end (BP) coming into 2017 to a top-10 prospect in a single season. He started both last year at A and this year AA super slow and then a month into the season went into beast mode:

2017 - .230/.313/.345 (April
2017 - .288/.393/.531 (Rest of the way (476 PA))

2018 - .177/.231/.333 (April)
2018 - .327/.400/.572 (Rest of the way (290 PA))

So it's a bummer he's not getting another 150 PA's, but wow, the first set of #'s from an 18 year old at Ft. Wayne was impressive. Do the same and then some as a 19 year old at AA... astonishing! The bat speed he showed pulling the 102 MPH heater from Hunter Greene in the Future's game was a pretty darn good example of how hot he's been. Even with the delay, he could be up pretty darn soon in 2019 if how they've handled him is any indication. Despite being the youngest player in the Texas League, at the time of his injury he was leading the league in runs scored, and more importantly, total bases.

Urias has had a solid year, but I was expecting more, not sure if it's really worth calling him up this year since he doesn't need to be added to the 40-man until the off-season. And if you're doing that, heck, it might be nice for him and Tatis to start the year together at AAA (while securing their control through 2025 at least). I'm all for Asuaje getting majority of the starts at 2b for the remainder of the year. He's looked really good at the plate since being recalled. Think he might fit real nice as a role player once the roster starts taking shape in the next year+. Same with Jankowski. Championship caliber bench players if I ever saw one... ;)

It's too bad this place has been crickets these past couple of years. The W-L record at the big league level might not show it, but man, there's so much other good stuff going on at the other levels that's a pretty darn exciting time to be a fan of the Padres with what's on the horizon.

The farm system sure as shit has never been stronger, and best of all, that I alluded to before, it sure does seem that the developmental wheels are working better then ever before as were seeing promising prospects realizing their potential rather than just dreaming on their potential. Not that every toolsy player is reaching that level now, but enough are that it makes me believe the team is finally on the right course in turning prospects into big leaguers.

Lots of good-looking, switch-hitting, up-the-middle players on the farm -- Meija, Buddy Reed and Xavier Edwards heading the crop. I know we're all big fans of dudes that swing both ways, nice to get our hands on ones that bring some additional positional value to the table too!



  • Getting Grandal backMcBain, Thu Jul 19 11:36
    4 years after the Kemp debacle, we get ourselves a new switch-hitting catcher with serious offensive upside. https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2018/07/indians-acquire-brad-hand.html
    • Re: Getting Grandal back — Chase, Tue Jul 24 03:56
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