After everybody negotiates their TV deals, it's safe to assume we'll be last in media revenue.
Who are we going to outdraw — or outdraw by enough to make a serious difference? Forget LA and SF. Even when SF was bad in the last decade they beat us. We've typically been behind Colorado and pretty close to Arizona.
Nobody else has the ~$30M in debt service.
The new FSSD may help us get back to the post-Petco, pre-divorce spending region, but in terms of giving us a financial advantage over the teams we have to beat, I don't see it. Not for long, anyway. SF and LA, meanwhile, have the potential for massive, Angels-style deals that really could represent a quantum leap in their finances.
So, I give Tom Krasovic all the credit in the world for staying on the local teams beat. And in a lot of cases, adding a lot more depth and critical analysis than he was able to while working at the... more
I think he is trying to say that Moorad, Moores and Selig are working to a compromise that isn't exactly going to make Moores or Moorad happy, but will end up with Moorad getting the team. He's... more
Ok, good. I'm not going nuts. Just a weird tense or tone to the whole thing. Like he's letting you on something, only he never says what it is. And conflating the ownership transfer with the TV deal... more
the equity angle is actually new to me, and a very interesting potential source of revenue beyond the rights fee. I'm glad I was right ($15m > $30m) on the rights fee details... since you mention the ... more
Okay. Just listened to the Saw. Pretty consistent with what Krasovic was reporting as well - sounds like they both probably got it from Nightengale. And it does sound like a great deal for the Pads.... more
Article up on MLB.com with Moores saying it's a 20yr/1B deal. With the Padres getting an expected 200m upfront. It gets really interesting when you think what they could do with the 150-200m if it... more
According to Center, the money has been spent in form of Carlos Quentin. As much as we'd like to see this TV contract as a new source of revenue, it has apparently been counted on and earmarked as... more
I recall that article from when it was published in August. Hard for me to say if the circumstances were the same with the television deal an unknown at that time. Based on Center's chat today he... more
According to Krasovic, they have been working on this TV deal for a year. Regardless, the details may not have been known in August, but Moorad probably had a pretty good idea of what was coming when ... more
Not increasing the payroll over 70m any time soon means staying in the bottom five in basball. They will be there in 2012, and 2013 has a chance of being the same, but I'm not seeing that come 2014.... more
Having a middle range revenue is NOT going to show up in a middle range of payroll when it comes to the Padres. Realistically, they have more ballpark debt than almost anyone else right now, so it... more
Besides that, what happens to us when everybody else negotiates their new deals? I don't know when the other NL West contracts run out, but this bump seems to have a limited shelf life. Five years... more
Looking at where the padres have ranked payroll wise since '98, I just wonder why the days of being 17th or 20th in that department are a thing of the past? Would anyone really be surprised if that's ... more
3m in attendance? Wow, I wouldn't even want to guess how long it will be until that achieve that again. For comparisson, only 9 teams in the entire game reached that figure last year. I believe the... more
Just so we're clear, I'm only really worried about our relative spending power vis-a-vis the NL West. If we look at NL payrolls after the TV deals stabilize, I'd bet that 75% of the time or more we'd ... more
"If we look at NL payrolls after the TV deals stabilize, I'd bet that 75% of the time or more we'd be last. The new deal really doesn't change much for the medium- and long-term." The Padres weren't... more
Yeah. From a revenue perspective, the way MLB is set up just isn't sustainable. Revenue sharing does a pretty good job of keeping the Padres and smaller market teams from getting totally shut out... more
Agree on where the Padres stand in the NL West, though by saying they have much of a disadvantage over the likes of Arizona & Colorado is splitting hairs, based on how those teams are spending. Don't ... more