I hear ya, I was just pointing out how freaking good Luebke has been. I still think we need to temper our expectations with starting pitching prospects -- expecting 2-out-of-3 of pretty much ANY group of pitching prospects to become above-average starters is nearly always an optimistic assessment. I'd be thrilled with one league-average starter and one above-average starter out of that threesome.
I think Volquez actually has BETTER raw stuff than Latos. His fastball is more explosive than Latos' and his change is devastating. Obviously, when your career walk rate is close to 5BB/9IP then you have control issues. What makes Latos so great (and why I have continued to doubt the "Volquez can replicate Latos' numbers" calls from Wahoo) is the way he commands his stuff, especially his fastball.
my name and Luebke's success coming in the same post. I agree on expecting any of the young arms to produce at the level that Luebke has early on. To be fair, Luebke's numbers would put him amongst... more
Agree on the nature of pitching prospects. It's early, but I think we've all been hoping to see what we've seen out of Casey Kelly recently. That his stuff would just sort of win out - Brandon Morrow ... more
don't get me wrong -- I still loved the Latos trade and definitely agree that, on the surface, with the Petco effect in play Volquez should put up comparable overall numbers (sub 4 ERA, lots of K's). ... more
Yeah, the walks are going to prevent Volquez from matching Latos' FIP & xFIP. But in terms of era & K/9, it could be close. Clearly his walks are going to hurt a lot less pitching for the Padres then ... more