Alonso's defense has a ways to go. Rizzo to me looked close to Adrian's equal in actions with more athleticism (pretty optimal combo). I am liking Alonso's approach at the plate. Shooting balls the opposite way, hitting doubles every which direction. To sum up, I think Alonso is a guy they'll be fine with at 1b for 4-5 years but isn't someone they look to keep well beyond that. BA did a piece on the average production for all the positions. For 1b that included a .271/.362/.468 line with 30 2b's & 23 HR's. He might reach that homer level in his best year calling Petco home when he hits his prime, but I could see 40-45 2b's and 12-17 HR's being a better representative of Alonso. I think he'll hit for a .280-ish batting average as a Padre, giving him an obp of .370 with his walk rate that seems a good bet to be league average (11.9%) at a minimum overall. Essentially he looks like an average 1b to me considering his glove shortcomings.
As far as Mark's point on Headley, heck yeah a .390/.450 year from Headley would be huge, well above-average, fixture type production (4-5 WAR, maybe a tad higher). I'll be happy if he matches his obp from last year while splitting the gap in SLG from the above and his rate so far. Will be interesting to see if he can get his homerun's into the high teens.
What do you guys think would be the best route with Headley? They keep him, either through 2014 or longer with an extension, or look to trade him for a more needed piece. Of course it's going to depend largely on what some team would give up. Shortstop Andrelton Simmons of the Braves is the type of player that would make sense to target in a Headley trade. An upside player at a position of need that could be up this year. Of course teams seem very reluctant to part with high-end shortstop prospects. The Padres would want another good prospect back in all liklihood, and I wouldn't bet on the Braves willing to part with Simmons. Aside from a stud shortstop, a athletic corner outfielder with excellent power or a starter that is both close to contributing with the upside to head a rotation would top the list.
Here's how our top 3b have performed so far:
Headley (122 PA) .253/.385/.443, 21bb/28k, 7 2b & 4 HR
Darnell (120 PA) .270/.375/.470, 15bb/21k, 5 2b & 5 HR
Gyorko (129 PA) .261/.364/.432, 17bb/23k, 4 2b & 5 HR
Gyorko is 13 games into his tour at 2b. Would be sweet if they pulled it off, hard to pencil him in until he's actually doing it in San Diego though so I'm still assuming if he's in San Diego it's a 3b.
Yasmani Grandal only has 70 PA's at AAA going back to last year, but pretty impressive numbers: .365/.514/.558 with 15bb/11k. I was day dreaming of Towers balking at Montero's demands (4/52) and making a really strong play for Hundley (Skaggs).
A month into the year and they lose Luebke, Blanks and Moseley for the season. A lot of season left, kind of makes for a scary proposition if things get even worse. Of course our M.I. is 100% healthy. Looking forward to that super-high pick in '13.